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PLEASE NOTE: This Perks Wealth Management Alert is an update to the previous alert sent out on Wednesday 3rd June.
Correction: Please be advised that the Official Cash Rate for New Zealand is 2.50%. This correction has been highlighted in bold text for your information.
We apologise for the inconvenience this may have caused and trust that the Perks Wealth Management Alert continues to provide you with an invaluable service.
Month in Review- April 2009
April saw the Australian sharemarket rise for a second consecutive month, with the S&P/ASX 300 Accumulation Index rising 5.70%. The S&P/ASX Small Ordinaries Accumulation Index outperformed the large cap market, rising 13.52%. However, Small Caps continue to underperform the large cap market over the longer term, registering -40.54% compared to -28.99% for the large cap index over the 12 months to end April.
Global equities were uniformly stronger in April. The MSCI World Accumulation Index was 5.28% higher in AUD terms. This was also reflected in the FTSE100 Accumulation Index (A$) and the S&P 500 Composite Accumulation Index (A$) which rose 3.62% and 6.06% respectively for the month.
Emerging markets were also stronger over the month, with the MSCI Emerging Markets Free W/Gross Div (A$) rising 10.32% in April, however it has fallen 26.52% over the last 12 months.
Regional markets were up during April. In Japan, the Nikkei ended the month 8.86% higher, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng Index rose 14.33% in local currency terms.
The S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Accumulation Index rose 6.24% over the month, outperforming the boarder equity market. Recent improvements in the small cap market have contributed to investors’ risk appetite increasing significantly during the month. Overall, the S&P/ASX 300 A-REIT Accumulation Index has fallen 57.23% over the 12 months to April 2009.
The UBS Global Real Estate Investors Index was also stronger in April rising 20.32% in AUD terms, outperforming the local index. Over 12 months to April 2009 the UBS Global Real Estate Investors Index was down 47.63% in AUD terms.
The Australian bond market was slightly stronger in April, following the RBA official interest rate cut of 25 basis points in March. The UBS Warburg Composite Bond Index was unchanged for April while the UBS Warburg Bank Bill Index returned 0.26% for the month. Over 12 months, the bond and cash markets returned 12.76% and 6.28% respectively.
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Best Performers
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Worst Performers
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Pacific Brands Ltd (+185.71%)
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St Barbara Limited (-34.12%)
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Kagara Zinc Ltd (+125.58%)
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Macmahon Holdings Ltd (-22.73%)
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Alesco Corp (+100.00%)
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Iluka Resources Ltd (-18.11%)
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Bradken Ltd (+92.75%)
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FKP Property Group (-18.00%)
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Karoon Gas Australia Ltd (+82.72%)
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Bendigo & Adelaide Bank Ltd (-16.24%) |
The short answer is that it is impossible to accurately predict when the economic recovery is going to come.
Share markets typically bottom about six months before the economic cycle. Thus, if economic growth is going to bottom and start turning higher from later this year then it would be consistent with shares having bottomed during the first half of this year. Alternatively, if the recovery is going to be another 12 months or so away then the risk of a new low in shares is much greater. Economic data relating to current or recent past economic conditions remain poor. US retail sales data indicates that US consumers are still cutting back, gross domestic product (GDP) has fallen at an alarming rate and unemployment is still rising everywhere.
However there are a range of considerations that provide some confidence that an upturn in the economic cycle is moving into sight for later this year.
Prior to acting on the above information please speak with your financial adviser and/or taxation accountant, so they can assess your situation and evaluate the relevance of this information in relation to your current circumstances.
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30 April 2009
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Share Markets
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Yearly Change
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ASX 200 (Acc)
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-28.82%
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ASX All Ord (Acc)
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-30.36%
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Dow Jones (USD)
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-36.29%
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S&P 500 (USD)
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-37.01%
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Nikkei (JYP)
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-36.26%
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FTSE 100 (GBP)
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-30.29%
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Hang Seng(HKD)
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-39.74%
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| Property |
Yearly Change
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ASX 200 Prop Acc
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-56.90%
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| Commodities |
Yearly Change
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Gold (USD) (oz)
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29.83%
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Oil (USD)(barrel)
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-42.21%
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Currency *
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Current Levels
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AUD/USD
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0.7856
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| AUD/EUR |
0.5625
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| AUD/GBP |
0.4924
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| AUD/JPY |
74.920
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| Official Cash Rates * |
Current Levels
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Australia
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3.00%
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| United States |
0.25%
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| England |
0.50%
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| New Zealand |
2.50%
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Australian Interest Rates *
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Current Levels
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90 day Bills
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3.19%
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10-yr Bond
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5.23%
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* Please note, these rates are intraday provided as at 26 May 2009.
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Adelaide
247 Fullarton Road
Eastwood SA 5063
T: (08) 8273 9300
F: (08) 8274 1466
Victor Harbor
163 Hindmarsh Road
Victor Harbor SA 5211
T: (08) 8552 3711
F: (08) 8552 3771
Darwin
59 Smith Street
Darwin NT 0800
T: (08) 8941 8600
F: (08) 8941 9600
Alice Springs
73 Hartley Street
Alice Springs NT 0870
T: (08) 8953 4400
F: (08) 8953 4599
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